fivethirtyeight podcast transcripts

Mental Health AI & Data Science Politics News Business Investing English United States 365 episodes since Nov. 1, 2018 episodic IN THIS PODCAST FiveThirtyEight Politics The crew breaks down notable primary races in Minnesota, Vermont and Wisconsin. Rules of the Game - discussing democratic institutions su Apple Podcasts The majority of the coverage did not show signs of bias, such as articles on immigration, midterm elections and the Jan. 6 hearings. They determine whether we live in a free or repres The crew discusses the results of the primary elections in New Jersey and Virginian and looks at the debate playing out between the two parties over how much wealthy Americans and corporations should be paying in taxes. What Are The Most Vulnerable Senate Seats In 2024? | FiveThirtyEight The crew discusses what high gas prices have meant for politics historically and outline the debates in Washington over how to bring those prices down. Nevada Democrats introduced a bill on Monday that would change their state's presidential nominating contest from a caucus to a primary and also dislodge New Hampshire from its position as the first primary in the nation. They also discuss the politics of reparations after a Democratic proposal in the House to study reparations for slavery was voted out of committee for the first time since it was introduced in Congress in 1989. They also discuss the latest developments in the current round of redistricting. The crew asks why Queen Elizabeth II's passing has received such intense global press coverage. The Negro League Stars That MLB Kept Out And Is Finally Recognizing. The crew digs into why Democrats underperformed in a special election in Texas. 30, 2021 How The CDC's Blindspots Complicated The Fight Against COVID-19 By Maggie Koerth and Sinduja Srinivasan Filed under Podcast-19 Jun. Galen Druke speaks with political science professors Sunshine Hillygus and Patrick Eagan about the history of wedge issues and how they shape U.S. politics. This is the final episode. In this installment of the FiveThirtyEight Politics podcast, the crew discusses the best way to poll Americans satisfaction with their own lives and the direction of the country. The Deluxe version of our model simulates the election 40,000 times to see which party wins the House most often. Rev also gives transcribers the autonomy to work for as much or little as they want. Jury Duty: Who Gets Called, And Who Actually Serves | WUNC We hear from two people involved in the progressive movement in New York City about their thoughts on whats happening in the race and how progressivism is shaping politics more broadly. June 2, 2016. In 2021, cities around the country are choosing mayors to try to lead them through a long list of challenges, both pre-existing and brought on by the COVID-19 pandemic. They also break down what that means for future cases and what it means for the legitimacy of the court overall. The team looks at the popularity of the Democrats' COVID relief plan and how both Democrats and Republicans are thinking about its provisions. Institutions are the rules of the game of our societies that direct our everyday lives in fundamental ways. Lastly, the team analyzes how the educational divide is shaping American politics. The Johnson & Johnson Pause Shows The System Is Working They also consider why Republican senators' votes on convicting former President Donald Trump broke down the way they did. In his new book "Aftermath: The Last Days of the Baby Boom and the Future of Power in America," Washington Post national columnist Philip Bump argues that many of the fissures that the country is facing today politically, economically, culturally have to do with the Baby Boomers getting old. Please subscribe to the Dow-ballot on Apple Podcasts and leave . The crew discusses how hurricanes shape political perceptions, whether 52 Democrats senators would be all that different from 50 and how the Electoral Count Reform Act could prevent future attempts to meddle with American elections. Given some of the caveats in the poll, the crew asks whether it's a good or bad use of polling. Tickets to the FiveThirtyEight Politics podcast live show in Washington, DC on October 25th can be found here. The crew discusses which indicators are worth watching to get a sense for how the parties will perform in the 2022 elections. The crew looks back at what Americans thought about some of the biggest political and cultural issues of 2021. Its generally considered to be one of the most comprehensive pictures of trends within the electorate. Tickets to the FiveThirtyEight Politics podcast live show in Washington, DC on October 25th can be found here. Its a bold suggestion, and in this installment of the podcast we interrogate it. Nate Silver to FiveThirtyEight Critics: 'Fuck You, We Did a Good Job' Conversations with Tyler | Listen to Tyler Cowen's Official Podcast Texas has been in a dire situation this week. The crew talks about the appeal of celebrity candidates and what it tells us about our politics. What role do Liz Cheney-type Republicans have to play in the future of the GOP (if any)? From 2008 to 2019, the percentage of people who said they got their news from local papers fell by more than half. They also check in on the results from two recent primary elections in Ohio and announce the launch of FiveThirtyEights Redistricting Tracker. The team also looks at how debates about "Critical Race Theory" entered the culture wars, particularly in schools and state legislatures. In this live taping of Model Talk in Washington, D.C., Nate and Galen break down the current forecasts for the Senate, House and gubernatorial races. The question is whether Mississippis law banning most abortions after 15 weeks of pregnancy is constitutional. Economics Professor at George Washington University, Tara Sinclair, joins to explain what is going on with the economy and the potential consequences of a spike in prices. By our estimates, the Democrat is on track to win by 45 points, compared to 30 points in '22 and 36 points in '20. twitter. Tensions between the U.S. and China have grown in recent years and, in this installment, the crew looks at changing public opinion of China and how it could shape American politics. Last week, we began to explore the most high-profile of those mayoral contests -- the New York City Democratic primary. Nathaniel Rakich discusses why it's difficult to draw a broader conclusion about the political environment based on the result. The Downballot is a weekly podcast dedicated to the many elections that take place below the presidency, from Senate to city council. Today, we wanted to share the first episode of the ABC News podcast series, "In Plain Sight: Lady Bird Johnson," which uncovers the former first lady's surprisingly powerful role in the Johnson presidency and includes history-making revelations about Lyndon B. Johnsons time in office. From host Jody Avirgan (30 for 30, FiveThirtyEight, Radiotopia) and the TED Audio Collective, Good Sport is your guide through an array of stadiums, pitches, pools and slopes that shed a light on the ups and downs of being human. They also debate whether the AARP is correct in assessing that women voters over the age of 50 are likely to decide the outcome of the 2022 midterms. With the data from the most recent term in hand, the crew discusses how far to the right the Supreme Court has gone. This Day In Esoteric Political History Radiotopia Hello and welcome to the identity politics podcast I'm deal injury work. Dec. 7, 2017 | Apple Podcasts | ESPN App | RSS 03 / Black Representation In North Carolina The debate over how districts should be drawn to ensure that minority voters are represented in Congress. Preview of Spotify. FiveThirtyEight - Wikipedia Rev. The book is the first big reported account of the 2020 campaign in its entirety and is written by Jonathan Allen, senior political analyst with NBC News, and Amie Parnes, senior correspondent for The Hill. If we said there was a 70 percent chance a candidate would win a race, did that actually happen 70 percent of the time? The State Of The Polls, 2016. 266, the . They also touch on the health of the polling industry and how much Biden's success in a potential 2024 primary hangs on Democrats' performance at the midterms. In Kim Barker's memory, the city of Laramie . Download this theme at theoneamradio.bandcamp.com/track/whatspoint-theme. The crew discusses how the other nine Republicans are faring in their bids to win reelection and debate whether CNNs new polling methodology is a good or bad use of polling. 'Coldest Case' review: Serial's podcast revisits a 1985 murder in Tester faces a tough bid, but don't sleep on Brown being the weaker of the two. Raffensperger's new book is called Integrity Counts.". Listeners wanted to know what to make of the NYC mayoral race, whether primary races tell us anything about the midterm elections, what voting system is the best, the likelihood of filibuster reform and, of course, whether or not hot dogs can be considered sandwiches. Our podcast helps listeners understand what they can be certain about, and what is still unknown. The crew discusses the Senate passage of the Inflation Reduction Act, new polling on how Americans think about crime and gun violence, and how state-level debates over abortion bans are playing out. The crew asks whether comparisons to former President Donald Trump's own classified document scandal are apt. In this installment of "Model Talk," Nate Silver and Galen Druke discuss what's behind the recent movement in the forecast and answer questions from listeners. Good Sport TED Audio Collective Sports Requires subscription and macOS 11.4 or higher 28 FEB 2023 heritage commons university of utah. Politics Podcast - FiveThirtyEight Were still waiting to find out what the deal is, but this focus on slow moving objects in U.S. airspace was kicked off by a Chinese spy balloon that the U.S. shot down earlier this month. They also break down how candidate misconduct is generally factored into the FiveThirtyEight model. The crew discusses what we've learned from President Biden's first 100 days in office and from his first address to a joint session of Congress. Biden Is Set To Be The Next President | FiveThirtyEight Politics We also look at the future of inflation with economist Kenneth Rogoff. In 2018, the operations were transferred from ESPN to sister property ABC News (also under parent The Walt Disney Company ). His new book is called "The Engagement: Americas Quarter-Century Struggle Over Same-Sex Marriage.". The crew discusses what Cuomo's political future might hold and how New Yorkers are reacting to sexual harassment allegations. They also discuss why gas stoves became such a hot topic of debate on the internet and what the 2024 primary for U.S. Senate in California will look like. The crew recaps that race and other notable results from the June 14 primaries. Listen to FiveThirtyEight Politics on Spotify. apache saddles amarillo texas shockwave treatment for gallstones in the philippines price It was a fiendishly clever and massively hyped invention. People are angry and politicians are pointing fingers. As Emanuel Macron has occupied the middle of the political spectrum in France, with a focus on cooperation among European nations, the opposition parties have moved toward a nationalist, populist agenda. Subscribe and listen Also available wherever you listen to podcasts Google Stitcher iHeartRadio Castbox TuneIn The team debates if Americans really do move to Canada, or to different U.S. states, for political reasons. FiveThirtyEight Podcasts - FiveThirtyEight My theme song for the "What's the Point" podcast from FiveThirtyEight, a podcast about our data age. 10 Wednesday AM Reads. david senak now. The episode tracks the 14 days from the murder of the president to when the Johnsons move into the White House, days filled with tragic ceremony and heartfelt moments of solidarity between Jackie Kennedy and Lady Bird. FiveThirtyEight Politics - Listen to All Episodes | News - TuneIn podcast transcripts and podcast transcription services. FiveThirtyEight contributor Laura Bronner shares what the data can tell us about the ideological direction of the court with the addition of Justice Amy Coney Barrett. We continue our conversation about challenges to democracy in America by talking with Georgia Secretary of State Brad Raffensperger. FiveThirtyEight's COVID-19 podcast is laser-focused on evidence. The crew discusses the politically thorny issue of mental acuity in an increasingly elderly U.S. government, and what Americans think about age limits for public office. The podcast crew discusses what Rep. Liz Cheney might do next with her message and what an independent bid for president might entail. They consider how much preelection polling can tell us about the state of the country and what other sources we might rely on. Where the hot sports takes of the week meet the numbers that prove them right or tear them down. This week Nikki Haley became the first major candidate to challenge former President Donald Trump in the 2024 Republican presidential primary. The crew talks about what led to Cuomo's resignation, how New Yorkers feel about his replacement, and what this means for New Yorks 2022 Democratic primary race for governor. Senior writer and legal reporter Amelia Thomson-DeVeaux discusses how the Justices approached the question and what Americans think about abortion policy. The crew tries to rank the electoral significance of some of the biggest stories in the news right now. With the benefit of hindsight and some time to breathe, Galen Druke reflects on key moments of the 2020 race with the authors of the new book, Lucky: How Joe Biden Barely Won The Presidency. 2022 FiveThirtyEight Election Forecast | FiveThirtyEight In this late night edition of the podcast, the crew discusses the factors that went into Republican Glenn Youngkin winning the Virginia governor's race. The crew discusses what her path to the nomination could look like, given that Trump and Florida Gov. House Minority Leader Rep. Kevin McCarthy (R-CA) and U.S. President Donald Trump attend a signing ceremony for H.R. FiveThirtyEight Media Bias | AllSides The data behind that evolution is striking. Zach and ESPN's Michael Schwartz break down the red-hot Suns ahead of their showdown with the Warriors, then ESPN's Dave McMenamin checks in on the Lakers -- plus . Then the team debates if a surge of women registering to vote in June could be linked to the Supreme Courts recent abortion decision. How FiveThirtyEight Calculates Pollster Ratings. FiveThirtyEight Politics 199 Episodes Share Follow Episodes About 61 minutes | Feb 27, 2023 How The War In Ukraine Could Go Nuclear To mark a year since Russia's full-scale invasion of Ukraine, Galen Druke brings back two experts who first joined the podcast when the war began. The crew discusses why the country responded to the attacks the way it did and how healthy American democracy is today. The crew discusses what comes next in Democrats' attempt to pass election reforms, after their proposals hit roadblocks in the Senate. By May 21, 2021 0 . Americans Like Bidens Student Debt Forgiveness Plan. Nate and Galen open the mailbag and answer listeners' questions about politics, polling and anything else on their minds. They also introduce a new FiveThirtyEight collaboration with Ipsos aimed at polling Americans about the issues they care most about in the run up to the midterms. (30 for 30, FiveThirtyEight, Radiotopia) and the TED Audio Collective, Good Sport is your guide through an array of stadiums . And they look at the experiences of urban Republicans and rural Democrats in a country increasingly sorted geographically and politically. In this late-night installment of the FiveThirtyEight Politics podcast, Nate Silver and Galen Druke put their Model Talk hats on and discuss the initial results from the 2022 midterms. The crew talks about why President Biden's approval is underwater, what the consequences are for Democrats and what they can do about it. Millions of people were without power or heat, and in some cases water, in freezing cold temperatures for days because of severe blackouts. Galen Druke is the host and producer of the FiveThirtyEight Politics podcast. Galen Druke speaks with George Washington University economist Tara Sinclair about the economics behind Americans pessimistic assessment of the economy. They also discuss the trend of amateur candidates running in and winning House primary elections, and ask whether Biden's dismissal of the polls is a "good or bad use of polling.". The recall effort ultimately failed by a sizable margin. Legal reporter Amelia Thomson-DeVeaux speaks with Galen Druke about the Justices' arguments for overturning Roe v. Wade, where the legal debate goes next and how this contrasts and complements American opinion on abortion. Since Jacksons confirmation is the expected outcome, the hearings similar to past ones were more about politics. [00:00:19] New York City-based political reporters Gloria Pazmino and Erin Durkin discuss the current lay of the land in the Democratic mayoral primary and the issues that are motivating voters with less than a month until the election. Nate Silver and the FiveThirtyEight team cover the latest in politics, tracking the issues and "game-changers" every week. Serial's new true-crime podcast, The Coldest Case in Laramie, revisits a 1985 murder. Listen at itun.es/i67M5bV. They also discuss the accuracy of opinion polling conducted in authoritarian Russia and war-torn Ukraine. In this late night edition of the podcast, the crew discusses the results of the California gubernatorial recall election. Welcome to Internet Archive TV News! And what does Floridas new voting law tell us about the GOPs efforts to change the way Americans vote, and the partys larger motivations? And if partisan loyalists were to make their way onto the Fed board, that degree of power could be abused. In the immediate aftermath of the Jan. 6th attack on the U.S. Capitol, it appeared that Republican leaders might be ready to break ties with then-President Trump once and for all. On the final day of COP26, we look at whether these types of international agreements actually shape countries climate policies and whether there are other factors that are more important. In this installment of Model Talk," Nate Silver and Galen Druke discuss the news events and polling that have contributed to that change. They also scrutinize a new survey that suggests most Americans think "The West Wing" and other political TV shows are reflective of how politics works. Galen Druke discusses that question with pollster Kristen Soltis Anderson and writers Ramesh Ponnuru and Henry Olsen, who have all spent their careers in Republican politics and conservative thought. Thats Changing. They also reflect on how British and American politics changed during the period when "Brexit" and "Trump" dominated the two countries news cycles and consider their lasting impact. Tickets to the FiveThirtyEight Politics podcast live show in Washington, DC on October 25th can be found here. Tuesday night was a test for some big names in the Republican Party in Wyoming and Alaska. They also debate the usefulness of new polling on Americans superhero preferences by partisanship and preview the upcoming Jan. 6 hearings.

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